Population Division - Workshop

Workshop on the use of national transfer accounts to address population and development challenges

Anonymous — Tue, 22 Dec 2020 17:05:00 +0000

Thursday, 06 August 2020 - 10:00am to Friday, 07 August 2020 - 11:00am

Overview

An online workshop with 55 participants from 34 countries was held in conjunction with the 13th Annual Global Conference on Population and the Generational Economy. The discussion focused on key population and development issues that could be uniquely addressed using national transfer accounts (NTA) estimates and methods. Follow-up workshops will be held on preparation of national “Reports on the Generational Economy” to examine the economic and fiscal implications of population change using data from national transfer accounts.

Documents

Programme of work

6 August 2020
10:00 pm – 11:00 pm	Welcome and introductions. Group chat and breakout sessions. Activity 1. What’s the most important message national transfer accounts (NTA) could tell us about the future? Mural and group chat. Activity 2. Sustainability and equality: priorities among participants, governments, and general public. Online poll. Activity 3. Assessing the comparative strengths and weaknesses of national transfer account network. Mural and group chat. Activity 4. Characteristics of government reports: best and worst elements. Mural and group chat. Activity 5. Bridging the gap between research and policy. Breakout sessions and group chat.
7 August 2020
10:00 am – 11:00 am	Welcome and introductions. Group chat and breakout sessions. Activity 1. What’s the most important message national transfer accounts could tell us about the future? Mural and group chat. Activity 2. Sustainability and equality: priorities among participants, governments, and general public. Online poll. Activity 3. Assessing the comparative strengths and weaknesses of national transfer account network. Mural and group chat. Activity 4. Characteristics of government reports: best and worst elements. Mural and group chat. Activity 5. Bridging the gap between research and policy. Breakout sessions and group chat.

Other resources

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Lundi, 13 novembre 2017
9:00 – 17:00	Présentation et évaluation, analyse et ajustement des données: Structure par âge et sexe Bienvenue/discours d’ouverture (ISTEEBU, Division de la population des Nations Unies/DESA) Tour de table Introduction 1. Présentation du travail de la Division de la Population des Nations Unies (UNPD) 2. Aperçu général de l’atelier de formation 3. Introduction aux estimations et projections de population 4. Estimations et projections de population dans le contexte africain 5. Aperçu du contenu et outils de l’atelier de formation Évaluation, analyse et ajustement de la structure par âge et sexe Établir la population de départ 1. Évaluer la qualité des données et outils (PASEX) 2. Correction et exemples de lissage 3. Transférer la population en milieu d’année Exercice pratique : Évaluation des données et préparation de la population de départ en vue de réaliser une projection (une partie de l’exercice sera réalisé durant la présentation)
Mardi, 14 novembre 2017
9:00 – 17:00	Évaluation, analyse et projection de la fécondité 1. Projeter le niveau de la fécondité : Aperçu 2. Etablir le niveau de fécondité de départ (évaluation, analyse et estimation) 3. Les modèles des Nations Unies 4. Le modèle du Bureau du recensement américain Continuation de la présentation de la matinée Exercice pratique : Création d’estimations temporelles cohérentes pour les indicateurs de fécondité Évaluation, analyse et projection de la fécondité (suite) 1. Projeter le schéma par âge de la fécondité : Aperçu 2. Etablir le schéma par âge de la fécondité 3. Option pour projeter Exercice pratique : Projeter la fécondité Continuation de la présentation de l’après-midi (si besoin) et exercice pratique.
Mercredi, 15 novembre 2017
9:00 – 17:00	Évaluation, analyse et projection de la mortalité 1. Données nécessaires afin de projeter la mortalité 2. Table de mortalité 3. Établir les données de base de la mortalité 4. Une note sur la mortalité liée au VIH/SIDA Exercice pratique : Construire une table de mortalité Continuation de la présentation de la matinée et exercice pratique Projection du niveau et du schéma par âge de la mortalité 1. Projeter le niveau de la mortalité (e0) 2. Projeter le schéma par âge de la mortalité Exercice pratique : Projeter la mortalité Exercice pratique : Projeter le niveau et le schéma par âge de la mortalité Estimation et projection du niveau et du schéma de la migration internationale 1. Simple démonstration de certains outils disponibles
Jeudi, 16 novembre 2017
9:00 – 17:00	Projections de population nationale 1. Programmes de projections de population 2. Procédure détaillée pour réaliser une projection de population nationale dans Spectrum et dans DAPPS 3. Examiner les résultats graphiques et tabulaires dans Spectrum Exercice pratique : Réalisation d’une projection de population à partir du dernier recensement et les projections de fécondité, mortalité et migration développées dans les exercices précédents. 4. Créer des variantes de projection Exercice pratique : Créer des variantes multiples en modifiant les hypothèses de fécondité Projections de population sous-nationales 1. Méthodes basées sur l’extrapolation des rapports 2. La “boîte à outils” pour les projections sous-nationales du Bureau du recensement américain : méthode des composantes et projection sans composante Continuation de la présentation de l’après-midi (si besoin) et début de l’exercice pratique.
Vendredi, 17 novembre 2017
9:00 – 15:00	Projections de population sous-nationales Continuation de l’exercice pratique 1. Synthèse et conclusions 2. Evaluation de la mission technique; Remarques finale

Lundi, 23 avril 2018
9:00 – 17:30	Présentation et évaluation, analyse et ajustement des données : Structure par âge et sexe Bienvenue/discours d’ouverture (INS, Division de la population des Nations Unies/DESA) Tour de table Introduction 1. Présentation du travail de la Division de la Population des Nations Unies (UNPD) 2. Aperçu général de l’atelier de formation 3. Introduction aux estimations et projections de population 4. Estimations et projections de population dans le contexte africain 5. Aperçu du contenu et outils de l’atelier de formation Évaluation, analyse et ajustement de la structure par âge et sexe Établir la population de départ 1. Évaluer la qualité des données et outils (PASEX) 2. Correction et exemples de lissage 3. Transférer la population en milieu d’année Exercice pratique : Évaluation des données et préparation de la population de départ en vue de réaliser une projection (une partie del’exercice sera réalisé durant la présentation) Continuation de l’exercice pratique. (Si l’exercice est terminé avant la fin de la journée, début de la session suivante).
Mardi, 24 avril 2018
9:00 – 17:30	Évaluation, analyse et projection de la fécondité 1. Projeter le niveau de la fécondité : Aperçu 2. Établir le niveau de fécondité de départ (évaluation, analyse et estimation) 3. Les modèles de projection des Nations Unies 4. Le modèle de projection du Bureau du recensement américain Continuation de la présentation de la matinée Exercice pratique : Création d’estimations temporelles cohérentes pour les indicateurs de fécondité Évaluation, analyse et projection de la fécondité (suite) 1. Projeter le schéma par âge de la fécondité : Aperçu 2. Établir le schéma par âge de la fécondité 3. Options pour projeter Exercice pratique : Projeter la fécondité Continuation de la présentation de l’après-midi (si besoin) et exercice pratique.
Mercredi, 25 avril 2018
9:00 – 17:30	Évaluation, analyse et projection de la mortalité 1. Données nécessaires afin de projeter la mortalité 2. Table de mortalité 3. Établir les données de base de la mortalité 4. Une note sur la mortalité liée au VIH/SIDA Exercice pratique : Construire une table de mortalité Continuation de la présentation de la matinée et exercice pratique Projection du niveau et du schéma par âge de la mortalité 1. Projeter le niveau de la mortalité (e0) 2. Projeter le schéma par âge de la mortalité Exercice pratique : Projeter la mortalité Exercice pratique : Projeter le niveau et le schéma par âge de la mortalité Estimation et projection du niveau et du schéma de la migration internationale 1. Simple démonstration de certains outils disponibles
Jeudi, 26 avril 2018
9:00 – 17:30	Projections de population nationale 1. Programmes de projections de population 2. Procédure détaillée pour réaliser une projection de population nationale dans Spectrum et dans DAPPS 3. Examiner les résultats graphiques et tabulaires dans Spectrum Exercice pratique : Réalisation d’une projection de population à partir du dernier recensement et les projections de fécondité, mortalité et migration développées dans les exercices précédents. 4. Créer des variantes de projection Exercice pratique : Créer des variantes multiples en modifiant les hypothèses de fécondité Module RAPID dans Spectrum pour illustrer l’importance du facteur démographique dans le développement socio-économique – Le cas de l’éducation 1. Illustration de l’utilisation du module RAPID dans Spectrum – le cas de l’éducation Projections de population sous-nationales 1. Méthodes basées sur l’extrapolation des rapports 2. La “boîte à outils” pour les projections sous-nationales du Bureau du recensement américain : méthode des composantes et projection sans composantes
Vendredi, 27 avril 2018
9:00 – 16:00	Projections de population sous-nationales (suite) Continuation de la présentation de la veille Dissémination des projections de population Dissémination des projections de populations Révision des projections 1. Synthèse et conclusions 2. Évaluation de la mission technique; Remarques finales

Monday, 5 August 2019
9 am - 5 pm	Opening Namibia Statistical Agency Population Division, DESA Session 1. Introduction Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 1.1 Why do we need population projections? 1.2 Three methods for population projections 1.3 The basic accounting identity of demography 1.4 The Lexis diagram 1.5 The cohort component projection method 1.6 Training exercise: Lexis diagrams 1.7 How accurate are population projections? Session 2. Establishing the starting population Yumiko Kamiya, Population Division, DESA 2.1 Detecting anomalies in the age/sex distribution of the population 2.2 Age pyramids 2.3 Consistency tests: age ratios, sex ratios 2.4 Observing cohorts in successive censuses 2.5 Adjusting population counts when establishing the starting population 2.6 Transfer the population to midyear 2.7 Training exercise: Preparing the starting population
Tuesday, 6 August 2019
9 am - 5 pm	Session 3. Mortality component Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 3.1 Data sources and methods 3.2 Infant and child mortality 3.3 Adult mortality 3.4 The life table 3.5 The model life table 3.6 A note on HIV/AIDS mortality 3.7 Training exercise: Constructing a life table 3.8 Projection of future mortality trends: levels and patterns 3.9 Training exercise: Mortality assumptions for Namibia
Wednesday, 7 August
9 am - 5 pm	Session 4. Fertility component Yumiko Kamiya, Population Division, DESA 4.1 Data sources 4.2 Measures of fertility 4.3 Cohort vs. period fertility 4.4 Method of analysis 4.5 Training exercise: Estimating fertility in the starting population 4.6 The fertility transition 4.7 Ultimate fertility levels and transition to ultimate levels 4.8 The changing age pattern of fertility 4.9 Training exercise: Fertility assumptions for Namibia Session 5. Migration component Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 5.1 Data sources 5.2 Analysis of past migration trends: levels and age patterns 5.3 Modeling the age pattern of migration: family vs labor migration. 5.4 Projection of future migration trends 5.5 Training exercise: Migration assumptions for Namibia
Thursday, 8 August 2019
9 am - 5 pm	Session 6. National population projections Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 6.1 The components of the cohort component projection method 6.2 Detailed procedures for making population projections using the DAPPS software 6.3 Examining graphs and tables in DAPPS 6.4 Training exercise: A population projection for Namibia 6.5 How to design integrated scenarios 6.6 Training exercise: Integrated scenarios for Namibia
Friday, 9 August 2019
9 am - 5 pm	Session 7. Subnational population projections Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 7.1 Subnational components 7.2 Interregional migration 7.3 Insuring consistency with national projections 7.4 The Feeney method 7.5 Iterative proportional fitting 7.6 Detailed procedures for making subnational projections using software 7.7 Training exercise: Subnational population projections for Namibia Session 8. Population projections: presentation and use Yumiko Kamiya, Population Division, DESA 8.1 How to present population data 8.2 Quantifying projection uncertainty 8.3 Using population projections for development planning Closing Namibian Statistics Agency

1 July 2019
9:00-10:0	1. Welcome and course introduction.
10:30-11:15	2. Population ageing in Asia-Pacific: challenges, opportunities, and the need for projections.
11:15-12:00	3. New demographic measure of ageing. Calculation of demographic measures of aging: chronological age, thanatological age, and prospective age.
13.30-14:30	4. Scenario forecasts to assess policy responses to population ageing.
14.30-15.00	5. Forecasting the consequences of population ageing for public financing of education and pensions.
15:30-17:00	6. Forecasting the consequences of population ageing for public financing of health care.

20 May 2019
9 am – 5 pm	Opening GEOSTAT Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA and Thomas Spoorenberg, Population Division, DESA Session 1. Introduction Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 1.1 Why do we need population projections? 1.2 Why are we bad at making them? 1.3 The basic accounting identity of demography 1.4 The Lexis diagram 1.5 The cohort component projection method 1.6 Training exercise: Lexis diagrams Session 2. Establishing the starting population Thomas Spoorenberg, Population Division, DESA 2.1 Evaluate the quality of the data 2.2 Deficient and incomplete data: methods for correction 2.3 Transfer the population to midyear 2.4 Training exercise: Preparing the starting population
21 May 2019
9 am – 5 pm	Session 3. Fertility component Thomas Spoorenberg, Population Division DESA 3.1 Analysis of past fertility trends: levels and age patterns 3.2 Training exercise: Baseline fertility data for Georgia 3.3 Projection of future fertility trends 3.4 Training exercise: Fertility assumptions for Georgia Session 4. Mortality component Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 4.1 The life table 4.2 Assessing the completeness of register data 4.3 Training exercise: Constructing a life table 4.4 Projection of future mortality trends 4.5 Training exercise: Mortality assumptions for Georgia
22 May 2019
9 am – 5 pm	Session 5. Migration component Thomas Spoorenbeg, Population Division, DESA 5.1 Analysis of past migration trends: levels and age patterns 5.2 Training exercise: Baseline migration data for Georgia 5.3 Projection of future migration trends 5.4 Training exercise: Migration assumptions for Georgia Session 6. National population projections Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA 6.1 The components of the cohort component projection method 6.2 Detailed procedures for making population projections using the DAPPS software 6.3 Examining graphs and tables in DAPPS 6.4 Training exercise: A population projection for Georgia 6.5 How to design integrated scenarios 6.6 Training exercise: Integrated scenarios for Georgia
23 May 2019
9 am – 5 pm	Session 7. Subnational population projections Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA and Thomas Spoorenberg, Population Division, DESA 7.1 Subnational components 7.2 Interregional migration 7.3 Insuring consistency with national projections 7.4 The Feeney method 7.5 Iterative proportional fitting 7.6 Detailed procedures for making subnational projections using software 7.7 Training exercise: Subnational population projections for Georgia
24 May 2019
9 am – 5 pm	Session 8. Innovations in data visualization methods Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, Population Division, DESA and Thomas Spoorenberg, Population Division, DESA 8.1 How to present population results 8.2 Using indicators: population ageing 8.3 Quantifying projection uncertainty thru probability fans 8.4 3-D visualizations: R, 3D printing, and AR 8.5 Training exercise Session 9. Conclusions and final discussion Closing GEOSTAT

18 November, 2014
09:00 – 17:3	SESSION I. Welcome remarks Chukwudozie Ezigbalike, African Centre for Statistics, UN, ECA Bela Hovy, Population Division, UN, DESA Haoyi Chen, Statistics Division, UN, DESA Bela Hovy, UN,DESA. Objectives, programme and introductions. SESSION II. The international migration and development agenda: Implications for data collection Objective: To present the latest policy developments in the area of international migration at the global, regional and national level and to assess their implications for data collection relevant to international migration, migrants and mobility, especially in relation to development Bela Hovy, UN, DESA. The 2013 High-level Dialogue on International Migration and Development: Data needs and gaps. Philip Jusu, AUC. International migration in Africa: Regional priorities and data requirements. Q and A Key questions. 1. What are some of the policies to leverage international migration for national development and to address challenges in the field of international migration? 2. What data are needed to evaluate these policies? Country presentation: Ghana Country presentation: Lesotho Tour-de-table SESSION III. Sources of international migration data: an overview Objective: To assess the main sources, concepts and definitions for international migration data and to determine how these data sources can inform international migration policy Haoyi Chen, UN, DESA. International migration statistics: Sources, concepts and definitions. Marzia Rango, IOM. Migration and development in Africa: Implications for data collection and research. Cheryl Sawyer, UN, DESA . Migrants Count: Five Steps Toward Better Migration Data. Q and A Key questions. 1. What are main sources of international migration data? 2. What data does the country need to inform migration policy? 3. How can data gaps be addressed? Country presentation: South Africa Country presentation: Nigeria Group work Reporting back, discussion and wrap-up
19 November, 2014
09:30 – 17.30	SESSION IV. Improving the collection, analysis, dissemination and use of migration data from population censuses Objective: To present the United Nations recommendations and to assess national experiences with regard to questions on international migration in the 2010 round of population censuses; to share experiences and identify best practices in analysing and disseminating international migration data from population censuses, including through the internet; to illustrate the use of international migration data collected through the census. Cheryl Sawyer, UN, DESA, Using census data to estimate the international migrant stock Haoyi Chen, UN, DESA, The 2010 round of population censuses: United Nations recommendations and their implementation. Q and A Implementing migration questions in the 2010 round of population censuses: lessons learnt and looking ahead. Country presentation: Botswana Country presentation: Swaziland Country presentation: Zambia Tour-de-table Country presentation: Kenya. Disseminating and analysing migration data from population censuses: a user’s perspective. Q and A SESSION IV (CONTINUED). Improving the collection, analysis, dissemination and use of migration data from population censuses. Haoyi Chen and Cheryl Sawyer, UN/DESA. Availability and quality of data on the international migrant stock: Experiences from the Demographic Yearbook and other sources. Country presentation: South Africa. Implementing migration questions in the 2010 round of population censuses: products, data quality assessment, and data analytics. Group work Reporting back, discussion and wrap-up Haoyi Chen, UN, DESA. Recommended and additional migration topics in the population census. Group work Reporting back, discussion and wrap-up
20 November, 2014
9:30 - 17:30	SESSION V. Enhancing the use of administrative sources to measure migration Objective. To identify good practices in compiling, analysing and disseminating data that is relevant for international migration from administrative sources. To address the strengths and weaknesses of using administrative sources for migration data. To provide guidance for compiling, analysing and disseminating data generated from administrative. sources. Bela Hovy, UN, DESA. Administrative data sources to measure migration: An introduction. ILO.The role of administrative data in understanding labour migration. Gorgui Diouf, UNHCR. Compiling statistics on refugee status determination. Q and A National experiences in using administrative sources for migration data Country presentation: Malawi Country presentation: Namibia Country presentation: Zimbabwe Tour-de-table SESSION VI. Using household surveys as a tool to measure migration and its impact Objective: To discuss experiences and identify good practices in using household surveys to assess the status and identify the needs of migrant families, to elucidate migratory patterns and flows, and to maximize the contribution of migration to national development. This section addresses opportunities and challenges of using existing household surveys for the purpose of migration as well as designing and implementing specialized migration surveys. Coffi Agossou, ILO. The role of the surveys in measuring labour migration: The Labour Force Survey. Q and A Country presentation: Uganda. National experiences in conducting migration surveys. Country presentation: To be determined Tour-de-table SESSION VII. Planning to enhance international migration data for development. Objective: Each country to prepare a plan to improve international migration data for policy planning, making use of the ideas and tools that have been presented during the first three days of the workshop. Evening assignment: Making a national plan to improve migration data
21 November, 2014
9:30 - 13:00	SESSION VIII. Promoting regional cooperation, capacity building and data exchange on migration data Objective: To discuss opportunities for regional cooperation, capacity building and data exchange on migration data. Oumar Diop, AUC. Labour Migration Governance for Development and Integration in Africa. ECOWAS. Promoting labour mobility through regional cooperation and its consequences for data collection: The case of ECOWAS. Josiah Ogina, IOM. Regional cooperation and capacity building Q and A SESSION IX. Formulating goals, targets and indicators on international migration Objective: Using the outcome document of the General Assembly Open Working Group on Sustainable Development Goals as a basis, country teams will design potential indicators at the national level to measure the proposed migration related goals and targets. Bela Hovy, UN, DESA. International migration, migrants and mobility: potential indicators for the post-2015 development agenda. Group work Reporting back, discussion and wrap-up SESSION X Evaluation, conclusions and closing of work

Population Division - Workshop

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