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Latin America and the Caribbean workshop on assessing the economic and fiscal consequences of population ageing

09 September 2019 to 11 September 2019

Santiago, Chile 

Overview

Achievement of an inclusive economic development that leaves no one behind requires good investment and good planning. Because achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030 also means ensuring their sustainability beyond 2030, training in the use of long-run population, economic, and fiscal forecasts is an important component of capacity development as envisioned by Madrid International Plan of Action on Ageing. 
 
In this context, the Population Division of DESA and ECLAC organized the Latin American and Caribbean Workshop Assessing the Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Population Ageing, held at ECLAC in Santiago from 9 to 11 September 2019. 
 
While population ageing will be one of the most important forces shaping the outcome of social and economic policy in the coming decades in the Latin America and Caribbean region, it is not always explicitly included in policy discussions. Because its influence is difficult to discern in the short run, a myopic policy focus inevitably results in delays in addressing mounting challenges such as population ageing, climate change, non-communicable disease and environmental degradation. 
 
The Workshop trained participants from national statistical offices, ministries in the planning, economic and social sectors, and research institutions in the use medium- and long-run economic and fiscal forecasts to address the cost, equity, and sustainability of development policies and programmes. 

Documents

Organization of work

Monday, 9 September 2019
09:00 – 09:30

Session 1: Welcome and course introduction

 

 

09:00 – 10:00

Session 2: Sustainable development: the need for a long-run perspective

 

 

10:30 – 11:00

Session 3: Economic consequences of population ageing

 

 

11:00 – 12:00

Session 4: Hands-on training (Country case studies of 50-year economic forecasts)

 

12:00 – 12:30

Session 5: Country presentations, Group 1 (How are government using longrun projections?)

 

14:00 – 15:00

Session 6: Working, Saving, and Sharing in the Era of Population Ageing

 
  • Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, DESA and Marta Duda-Nyczak, Population Affairs Officer, ECLAC

 

15:30 – 16:30

Session 7: Hands-on training (Stress-tests of support systems: financial, familial, and public)

 

16:30 – 17:00

Session 8: Country presentations, Group 2 (How are government using longrun projections?)

 

Tuesday, 10 September 2019
09:00 – 10:00

Session 9: Forecasting public spending on education and pensions in an older and wealthier Latin America and the Caribbean

 

 

10:30 – 12:00

Session 10: Hands-on training (Country case studies of 50-year forecasts of public spending on education and pensions.)

 

12:00 – 12:30

Session 11: Country presentations, Group 3 (How are government using long-run projections?)

 

14:00 – 15:00

Session 12: Forecasting public spending on health care in an older and wealthier Latin America and the Caribbean

 

 

15:30 – 16:30

Session 13: Hands-on training (Country case studies of 50-year forecasts of public spending on health care)

 

16:30 – 17:00

Session 14: Country presentations, Group 3 (How are governments using long-run projections?)

 

Wednesday, 11 September 2019
09:00 – 10:00

Session 15: The Generational Economy: The Next 50 Years

 
  • Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, DESA and Marta Duda-Nyczak, Population Affairs Officer, ECLAC

 

10:30 – 11:30

Session 16: Final group discussion

 

11:30 – 12:00

Item 17: Closure

 
  • Paulo Saad, Director, Population Division, ECLAC Tim Miller, Global Adviser on Population and Development, DESA